Thursday, November 18, 2010

High Advace/Decline Readings

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As emini index futures suggested yesterday, the indexes are up. The US Dollar is down which could be the cause.

The indexes are up too strong. The current up-move is not very healthy by two reasons: it will bring the volatility up and advances and declines are hitting extremely high levels (known as overbought levels in technical analysis).

From
http://www.marketvolume.com/quotes/advance_decline_sentiment.asp
you may see:

For the S&P 500 advances beats declines by margin of 480 to 13. On the Nasdaq 100 advances beat declines by margin of 95 to 5.
Advance/Decline issues ratio on the S&P 500 hit 19 and advance/decline volume ration hit 40. See advance/decline sentiment at
http://www.marketvolume.com/quotes/advance_decline_sentiment.asp?s=SPX

I would not trade up - we may go down in the same way we are going up at such conditions.

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