As I mentioned before the market opened, based on the Money Flow on the 15-min and 30-min charts we had negative trading today. Again, the same as I stated, since Money flow on the longer-time frame (on hourly charts stayed positive), the indexes recovered by the end of the session.
The strongest decline was noted today mostly in financial sectors (S&P 500 Financials, Nasdaq 100 Financials and Nasdaq 100 Banking).
We had yesterday very strong daily volume - some indexes beat their 2-3-4 month records on daily volume and that volume was during the price up-move (strong bullish volume activity). I've already mentioned that yesterday's volume could change supply/demand balance. However, today many indexes had even stronger volume and this volume was noted during the price decline (strong bearish volume activity). Such, daily volume on the S&P 500 Financial index was one of the highest daily volumes over past year. We already saw a reaction on that volume as a recovery by the end of the today's session. ETFs that track indexes continued to move higher even after the market closed - QQQQ (Nasdaq 100 tracking stock) has made about 1% up SPY and DIA (S&P 500 and DJI tracking stocks) have made about 0.2% up after the Bell. However, there is another interesting point. Trading volume on QQQQ during the first fifteen minutes after the Bell (in period from 16:00 until 16:15) was several times higher than the volume during any 15-minutes period during regular trading hours and this was Bullish volume surge.
Even if it could seems that market could to move higher tomorrow, I would not be very optimistic. Yes, maybe we may see positive opening, yet I would not bet after it. Taking into account indicators on the hourly chart I would expect to see indexes in the range between yesterday's high and today's low. Keep in mind that tomorrow is options expiration and it may put some additional volatility.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
High Volume - Big Guys Reshufeling Positions???
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High volume
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