Showing posts with label high advance/decline. Show all posts
Showing posts with label high advance/decline. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

US Dollar Up - Stok market Holds the gain

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It looks like I was wrong and the indexes did not pulled down, but moved side-way. the money flow an all intraday time-frames is positive. Third time the S&P 500 and DJI are coming close to their highs seen on November 18 and November 19. If those highs are broken, the odds could be good we may see indexes running up to the highs seen on November 5th. Under those conditions, I would set tight stop-loss for short position.

US Dollar index has recovered from today's morning negative trading, yet, indexes manage to hold the gain and did not dropped. This is not good sign for Bears as well.

Right now, I'm on 15- and 30-min charts. Money Flow on the 15-min charts started to decline (yet still in positive area). Lets see if the 30-min money flow follows it.

Bear in mind that the volatility level is high and we may see sudden strong moves.

Another point worth mentioning is that we have extremely strong Bullish Advance/decline reading. On Nasdaq 100, all 100 stocks are traded above their yesterday's close. Advance/Decline readings on the S&P 500 and NYSE composite index are at very high levels as well. In many cases such strong readings could be seen before strong down-turns.

Thursday, November 18, 2010

High Advace/Decline Readings

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As emini index futures suggested yesterday, the indexes are up. The US Dollar is down which could be the cause.

The indexes are up too strong. The current up-move is not very healthy by two reasons: it will bring the volatility up and advances and declines are hitting extremely high levels (known as overbought levels in technical analysis).

From
http://www.marketvolume.com/quotes/advance_decline_sentiment.asp
you may see:

For the S&P 500 advances beats declines by margin of 480 to 13. On the Nasdaq 100 advances beat declines by margin of 95 to 5.
Advance/Decline issues ratio on the S&P 500 hit 19 and advance/decline volume ration hit 40. See advance/decline sentiment at
http://www.marketvolume.com/quotes/advance_decline_sentiment.asp?s=SPX

I would not trade up - we may go down in the same way we are going up at such conditions.